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China Economic Outlook 2025

China’s economic outlook for 2025 signals a year of transformation, marked by shifts towards high-tech production, consumption-driven growth, and sustainable development. With GDP expected to grow by at least 5%, government policies are focusing on stimulating domestic demand, stabilizing the property sector, and expanding green energy and healthcare industries. Key initiatives include consumer trade-in programs, fiscal stimulus, and monetary easing. While global trade tensions pose challenges, China’s strategic diversification and policy adaptability position it for resilience. As 2025 unfolds, China remains committed to innovation, high-quality growth, and economic stability.

Latest Insights

Amendment to CEPA Provides Enhanced Access to Mainland Markets

The Closer Economic Partnership Arrangement (“CEPA”) amendment between mainland China and Hong Kong, effective 1 March 2025, expands market access for Hong Kong businesses. Covering trade in goods, services, investment, and economic cooperation, CEPA now includes liberalisation measures in sectors like construction, financial services, and tourism. Key updates include easing equity ownership limits and professional service restrictions. Hong Kong enterprises can also capitalize on premier legal and arbitration services for Mainland operations. While most measures apply nationwide, select pilot initiatives focus on the Greater Bay Area, highlighting enhanced integration and opportunities for Hong Kong-based companies in a growing market.

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China Adjusts Export Tax Rebates for Certain Goods

On 15 November 2024, China announced significant changes to its export tax rebate policies, effective 1 December 2024. The elimination of rebates for aluminium, copper, and certain biofuels, along with a reduction in rebate rates for batteries and refined oil products, is set to impact businesses across key sectors. This shift aims to address the financial burdens faced by exporters under the current VAT framework. Companies must now evaluate how these adjustments affect their operations and develop strategies to navigate the evolving landscape. Discover how these changes could reshape the export market and what it means for your business.

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Regulatory Updates

Dong Business in China

Our China Guides comprise a series of informative articles that provide insights on efficiently handling the compliance responsibilities and administrative formalities associated with establishing and scaling up your business in Mainland China.

Dong Business in Hong Kong

Are you looking to setting up a company in Hong Kong? Checkout our a series of comprehensive guides on how to set up and operate a business in Hong Kong.

Expanding your business into

Greater Bay Area

The Greater Bay Area (GBA) of China presents vast opportunities for businesses seeking to expand their operations in the region. The GBA comprises nine cities in Guangdong Province, Hong Kong, and Macau, with a combined population of over 70 million and a GDP of approximately USD 1.6 trillion. It is a critical part of China’s economic development strategy, aimed at creating a world-class metropolis and driving economic growth in the region.

We have a series of informative articles that delve into the various business opportunities available in the GBA. These articles cover a wide range of industries, including finance, technology, logistics, and tourism, among others. We provide insights on the GBA’s market potential, investment incentives, regulatory environment, and emerging trends that businesses can capitalize on.

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China Pushes for Nationwide Adoption of Fully Digitalised E-Invoices

Effective 1 December 2024, China’s State Administration of Taxation (SAT) has implemented fully digitalised e-invoices, or e-fapiao, nationwide. This initiative simplifies invoicing processes, replacing traditional paper-based invoices with a streamlined digital format featuring 17 key elements, including a unique 20-digit identification code. Legally equivalent to paper invoices, the e-invoice reduces administrative burden and enhances tax compliance. The move underscores China’s commitment to modernizing tax administration while promoting efficiency and standardization for businesses and consumers. By eliminating the need for duplicate copies, the digital system improves usability and supports the broader digital transformation of the country’s financial ecosystem.

Market Entry, Industry Updates and More...

Promoting High-Quality Development: Interpretation of New Policies for the Financial Leasing Industry in Shanghai’s Lin-gang Special Area

On December 12, 2024, the Lin-gang Special Area of the Shanghai Free Trade Zone introduced new measures to promote high-quality financial leasing development. These policies aim to enhance competitiveness through optimized business environments, financial support, and industry-specific incentives. Key areas of focus include civil aviation, medical equipment, and green leasing, alongside fostering cross-border innovation and talent development. Effective from January 1, 2025, these measures will shape a dynamic financial leasing ecosystem. Companies should leverage these policies, strengthen financial partnerships, and expand internationally to maximize growth opportunities, especially under the Belt and Road Initiative.

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